Hints of softness

Article Abstract:

The economy was analyzed in terms of softness. The economy's pace will likely decline, but a sharp slowdown nor a collapse has not yet been identified. The predicted growth in the 1st qtr. of 1995 will not match the 4. 5% achieved in the 4th qtr. of 1994. Softness may be seen in the unemployment and wage statistics, the increase in inventories and the slowdown in retail sales. Another symptom of the economy's softness is the Mexican peso devaluation, since the country relies on the Mexican market for approximately one-fifth of its merchandise export growth.

Economic indicators

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Trends and projections

Article Abstract:

The US economy is off to a good start in 1997, but the continuation of its strong performance is still in question. It has been enjoying economic expansion since 1991, and a recession is not being predicted for 1997. The value of stocks in financial markets remains on a sound level, although a sudden shift of events is anticipated as earnings per share must reach a 10% rise in the future. On the other hand, the federal government is likely to implement fiscal tightening in the course of a possible recession or before inflation arises.

Gross National Product, Regulation, Licensing, and Inspection of Miscellaneous Commercial Sectors, Banking Regulation, Stock-exchange, Stock exchanges, Financial markets, Banking law

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Moderation may not last

Article Abstract:

A moderate economic growth is expected in the US in 1997. Specifically, economic resurgence, increase in interest rates and a slower year-end are anticipated. The 1996 results showed moderate growth and continued moderate inflation with both consumer spending and business investments contributing to the profits. However, interest rate expectations were overoptimistic while residential construction and housing expectations were underestimated.

National Income & Expenditure, Economic development, Interest rates, Consumption (Economics)

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