Global bonds: US shackles

Article Abstract:

US bond yields have risen in early 1996, and yields could fall from Mar1996, according to NatWest Markets. Interest rates may drop if data shows weakness in the economy, and yields may also fall if an agreement is reached on the US budget. Bond yields may fall over the short term from Mar 1996, but rise again and become more attractive to investors. European bonds are more attractive to investors over the short term, though the European market is affected by trends in the US.

United States economic conditions

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Global bonds: wait for it

Article Abstract:

The world bond market is undergoing a rally which could be reversed in mid 1995, according to JP Morgan. US monetary policy may be tightened and yields look set to rise. European Bund yields could fall until growth resumes and the impact of the US market is felt. Countries with low inflation look set to beenfit from a cut in rates by the Bundesbank, though high inflation nations will only see a temporary benefit from this. Monetary policy looks set to tighten during 1995.

Interest rates

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Bonds: attracting foreign cash

Article Abstract:

The market for government bonds can be affected by foreign investment, though such investors account for a small proportion of the UK market. This may change when the government introduces a repo market, which could happen in late 1995. German government bonds are more attractive to foreign investors with some 38% in foreign ownership. Some 20% of US bonds are in foreign hands, and this figure has remained stable, while the French market has been more volatile.

Foreign investments

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