Automatic ARIMA modeling including interventions, using time series expert software
Article Abstract:
This article accomplishes the following: it provides a description of the method of automatic Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), it offer comments on the results, and it makes general comments about the M3-Competition.
Publication Name: International Journal of Forecasting
Subject: Economics
ISSN: 0169-2070
Year: 2000
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Out-of-sample tests of forecasting accuracy: an analysis and review
Article Abstract:
Researchers evaluating the accuracy of forecasting analysis have failed to utilize rolling-order evaluations of out-of-sample tests. This has made it difficult to compare or replicate their studies.
Publication Name: International Journal of Forecasting
Subject: Economics
ISSN: 0169-2070
Year: 2000
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The use of an expert system in the MC competition
Article Abstract:
An Expert System was developed and used on the M3-Competition data set. Examination of the data revealed that no single series method had proved to be statistically distinguishable from the rest.
Publication Name: International Journal of Forecasting
Subject: Economics
ISSN: 0169-2070
Year: 2000
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