Correct or combine? Mechanically integrating judgemental forecasts with statistical methods

Article Abstract:

Three methods of integrating judgemental forecasts with statistical methods were tested in a laboratory experiment and two field studies, but results indicated almost no improvement in forecast accuracy when the two methods were combined.

United States, Forecasting, Research, Economic forecasting, Business forecasting

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Improving the voluntary integration of statistical forecasts and judgment

Article Abstract:

Interruptions to time series by foreseeable events can be smoothed by use of judgment. Forecasts shouldn't be changed with sufficient reason.

Research and Development in the Physical, Engineering, and Life Sciences, Statistics, Usage, Statistics (Data), Statistics (Mathematics), Time-series analysis, Time series analysis

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Debiasing forecasts: how useful is the unbiasedness test?

Article Abstract:

The authors prefer to correct forecasts rather than use an unbiasedness test.

United Kingdom, Product information, Testing, Research bias

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