Financial market integration and macroeconomic volatility
Article Abstract:
A two-country intertemporal general equilibrium model with imperfect competition in the goods market and nominal inertia generated by single period contracts is modified to examine financial market integration and nominal inertia more thoroughly. The process of financial market integration is modelled as the elimination of trading barriers between financial markets in different countries. An increase in financial market integration is found to lead to an increase in the volatility of several variables when shocks originate from the money market. However, it leads to a decrease in the volatility of most variables when shocks stem from real demand or supply.
Publication Name: Scandinavian Journal of Economics
Subject: Economics
ISSN: 0347-0520
Year: 1996
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Monetary integration in Europe: implications for real interest rates and stock markets
Article Abstract:
A simple general equilibrium model was used to examine the implications of financial market integration on real interest rates and equity prices in the UK, Germany, Italy and France, taking into account a flexible exchange rate regime, a hard European Monetary System and a common currency. A minimal impact of these regime changes on real interest rates was found. However, the effect on equity prices is potentially sizable. The choice of central bank operating procedures is also deemed crucial for real interest rates.
Publication Name: Scandinavian Journal of Economics
Subject: Economics
ISSN: 0347-0520
Year: 1996
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Intrinsic bubbles and mean-reverting fundamentals
Article Abstract:
A simple asset pricing model is used to examine intrinsic bubbles. The model's fundamentals follow an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. These bubbles are shown to suggest an explosive path for the expectation of the asset price. The conditional variance of the asset price is shown to diverge in finite time. Therefore, intrinsic bubbles point to highly nonstationary behavior for the asset price despite a stationary underlying fundamental.
Publication Name: Journal of Monetary Economics
Subject: Economics
ISSN: 0304-3932
Year: 1996
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