Exploring e-government futures through the application of scenario planning

Article Abstract:

The effect of information and communications technologies (ICT) on government departments /agencies and the contributions of external agents to change and development programs are examined. Scenario planning is used as a tool for establishing the limits of possibility and plausibility for the future.

Strategy & planning, Planning, Evaluation, Technology application, Technological innovations, Administrative agencies, Government agencies, Company business planning

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The Delphi method, impeachment and terrorism: accuracies of short-range forecasts for volatile world events

Article Abstract:

The results of the experiments on the viability of Delphi method to examine accuracy of short-range forecasting of volatile world events are presented.

United States, Police Protection, Terrorist Control, Security Mgmt-Kidnapping & Terrorism, Terrorism, Geopolitics

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Judgment change during Delphi-like procedures: the role of majority influence, expertise, and confidence

Article Abstract:

Experimental results to examine forecasting of opinion change using Delphi method are presented.

United Kingdom, Decision-making, Decision making

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