After torpor, what?

Article Abstract:

The UK stock market was lethargic in Jun 1996 and this could mean that a correction is less likely since corrections tend to be preceded by share price rises. Share valuations in terms of share yields as a proportion of government security yields also indicate that share prices may rise further since shares do not appear to be overvalued by this measure. Rights issues have not been a major feature of 1996 compared with 1993 or 1987. There could still be a correction in the UK linked to share prices in the US.

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Pause or worse?

Article Abstract:

Opinion is divided on the UK stock market, with some analysts foreseeing a drop in prices and others arguing that this is not likely to occur. The UK trade deficit and public borrowing figures could lead to concern about investing in sterling assets, and tax reductions are likely for political reasons in Nov 1995. Analysts who do not see share price falls argue that tax cuts are possible if policy on public spending is kept sufficiently tight.

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A weakening trend in March

Article Abstract:

The UK stock market has often performed well in March, but this was at a time when the UK Budget was held in that month. The pattern changed after Budget were moved to Nov, but 1996 could see a reversal of this trend and a good performance in Mar. UK share prices could be affected by trends in the US, and US shares have performed well. The pattern of share prices throughout the year can often be forecast from the way shares perform in Mar.

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