Defrost to the tune of trillions
Article Abstract:
Investors could in theory invest in an index-tracker and leave their funds for 1,000 years, using cryonic science. This raises questions as to the strong performance of stocks in the 20th century, and how issues of risk should be tackled. There have been good returns from the British and US stock markets in the 20th century, but other markets have been closed down. There are risks related to war and ecological problems, as well as personal risks related to life events such as disability or unemployment. Equities appear to offer a good investment despite the risks, and it is unclear why more are not purchased.
Publication Name: Investors Chronicle
Subject: Business
ISSN: 0261-3115
Year: 1999
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The case against thinking
Article Abstract:
Investors tend to use judgement to supplement a quantitative approach, and this can lead to problems. It is easy to draw conclusions that may be false from stock price patterns that appear to be forming. Investors can be misled by bias such as the view that effects have to be representative of causes, or the view that extrapolating from past performance will give clues to performance in a recession. Our judgement of probabilities is affected by events that we remember easily,and potential profits may be ignored since current news is more noticeable.
Publication Name: Investors Chronicle
Subject: Business
ISSN: 0261-3115
Year: 1999
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Learning the lessons of Black Monday
Article Abstract:
The 1987 stock price crash did not affect stock prices greatly over the longer term, and equities have performed better than other assets. Stocks may be safer than bonds taking a very long term view. Inflation is linked to bear markets and these affect the investment performance of stocks more than short term crashes. The market dropped as a whole in 1987 since stocks had become overvalued. The crash allowed valuations to be adjusted and there was little impact on the real economy.
Publication Name: Investors Chronicle
Subject: Business
ISSN: 0261-3115
Year: 1997
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