Futures manipulation with "cash settlement." (includes appendix)
Article Abstract:
This paper investigates the susceptibility of futures markets to price manipulation in a two-period model with asymmetric information and "cash settlement" futures contracts. Without "physical delivery," strategies based on "corners" or "squeezes" are infeasible. However, uninformed investors still earn positive expected profits by establishing a futures position and then trading in the spot market to manipulate the spot price used to compute the cash settlement at delivery. We also show that as the number of manipulators grows, profits from manipulation fall to zero. However, even in the limit, manipulation still has a nontrivial impact on market liquidity. More broadly, we interpret manipulation as a form of endogenous "noise trading" which can arise in multiperiod security markets. (Reprinted by permission of the publisher.)
Publication Name: Journal of Finance
Subject: Business
ISSN: 0022-1082
Year: 1992
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Spot and Futures Prices and the Law of One Price
Article Abstract:
The Law of One Price is tested for its performance for internationally traded commodities. Short run deviations are observed, but the Law of One Price holds in the long run. Large riskless arbitrage returns are observed. Deviations are commodity specific.
Publication Name: Journal of Finance
Subject: Business
ISSN: 0022-1082
Year: 1983
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The effect of short selling on bubbles and crashes in experimental spot asset markets
Article Abstract:
A simulation model to explain the impact of short selling in experimental spot asset markets is presented.
Publication Name: Journal of Finance
Subject: Business
ISSN: 0022-1082
Year: 2006
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