Decomposition by causal forces: a procedure for forecasting complex time series

Article Abstract:

The effective decomposition of complex time series by the use of causal forces by the forecasters on automobile accidents, airline accidents, personal computer sales, airline revenues and cigarette production is examined.

Forecasts, trends, outlooks, Analysis, Forecasts and trends, Market trend/market analysis, Accidents

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Coherent forecasting in integer time series models

Article Abstract:

A study suggesting optimal forecasting methods for observation-driven time series models is presented. In this context, integer-valued autoregressive models are also discussed.

United Kingdom, Germany, Mathematical models

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Forecasting support systems for the incorporation of event information: an empirical investigation

Article Abstract:

A study showing how time series are adjusted for non-time series information is presented. Time series are used for forecasting purposes.

Event history analysis

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