Domestic and international influences on business cycle regimes in Europe

Article Abstract:

Leading indicator data is used for determining the logistic regression models that determine the domestic and international influences on business cycle and provide the probabilities of future business cycle regimes in the European countries like Germany, France, Italy and United Kingdom. The United States (US) business cycles are predicted in a better way using the lead indicator information and logistic regression models.

Models, Analysis, Foreign exchange rates, Economic indicators, Business cycles

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Linear versus neural network forecasts for European industrial production series

Article Abstract:

The linear and neural economic time series forecasting methods applied forecast industrial production for important sectors in the countries of Germany, France and the United Kingdom. Based on the requirement the users can choose either linear or neural method of forecasting.

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Bridge models to forecast the euro area GDP

Article Abstract:

The quarterly euro area National Account is released with substantial delay. So a model to bridge the gap between the information content and the more accurate data is derived.

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