Modelling and forecasting the diffusion of innovation u a 25-year review

Article Abstract:

Developments of modelling in forecasting accuracy and forecasting diffusion of innovation are discussed. Main applications such as telecommunication forecasting are discussed. Future directions of research, forecasting with multinomial models, multi generation models are also discussed.

United Kingdom, History, Prediction theory

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A note on the Robust Trend and ARARMA methodologies used in the M3 Competition

Article Abstract:

The Robust Trend and the auto-regressive auto-regressive moving average (ARARMA) were the methods of forecasting used in the M3 Competition. The former utilized features of some telecommunications time-series, while the latter used a more general time-series.

United States

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The theta model: a decomposition approach to forecasting

Article Abstract:

The theta model is a univariate forecasting method based on modifying the time-series (Theta-lines) through a coefficient (Theta) resulting in an improved forecasting of both long-term and short-term data approximation .

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