On inflation and inflation uncertainty in the G7 countries
Article Abstract:
Increased inflation substantially result to heightened inflation uncertainty in all the G7 countries for the 1948-1993 period although no conclusive evidence has been been found regarding the effect inflation uncertainty has over inflation. In the United States, the United Kingdom, and Germany, increased inflation uncertainty leads to lower inflation. In Japan and France, however, high inflation uncertainty results to high inflation. The evaluation of the G7 countries utilized GARCH models to assess inflation uncertainty and Granger methods to test for variable causality.
Publication Name: Journal of International Money and Finance
Subject: Economics
ISSN: 0261-5606
Year: 1998
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Lessons from the Asian crisis
Article Abstract:
The East Asian financial crisis is discussed from the point of view of asymmetric information analysis. It explains the crisis as mostly due to problems with fundamentals, specifically in the financial sector, while considering illiquidity and multiple equilibria factors. Among the lessons provided by the analysis are the need for an international lender of last resort, the need for lending conditionalities to prevent moral hazards which accompany the operations of the international lender and that capital flows are symptoms and not the basic causes of crises.
Publication Name: Journal of International Money and Finance
Subject: Economics
ISSN: 0261-5606
Year: 1999
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