A micro model of the criminal's location choice

Article Abstract:

Allocation of criminal behavior over the metropolitan area is analyzed, leaving out the assumption in previous research that criminals find a decreasing degree of expected net crime payoffs the further from home they perform their activities. Individual criminal behavior is studied in two districts, as well as the conditions causing a shift of activities between them. Expected crime utility and perceived likelihood of success are two decision variables considered by the criminal. The condition for the criminal deciding to diversify operating locations is that the two districts vary in expected utility and likelihood of success. It is suggested that police should patrol or 'land cover' in poor neighborhoods where juvenile non-professional offenders work, but that more sophisticated policing is needed in more affluent and remote locations where specialized criminals operate.

Criminal behavior, Prediction of, Prediction of criminal behavior, Crime, Metropolitan areas, Spatial behavior, Human spatial behavior

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The effects of community size on the mix of private and public use of security services

Article Abstract:

Population growth in metropolitan areas contributes to diseconomies of size, and increases constituent reliance on private provision of key services such as security. The role of private security in overall protection expenses has been increasing since 1978, a trend which continued even during the recession years of 1980-1982. A model is developed which maximizes perceived safety by providing a given budget between private protection and public security. Analysis of data with the theoretical model supports the notion that a shift from public to private provision of security services occurs as community size increases. At the same time, and for a set level of private and public outlays, individually conceived confidence in safety levels declines.

Usage, Safety and security measures, Cities and towns, Security measures, Security services industry, Security systems, Crime prevention

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The demand for rental housing: evidence from the housing allowance demand experiment

Article Abstract:

Price and income elasticities effect on housing demand using Housing Allowance Demand Experiment data on households and price variation - using log-linear and linear expenditure function.

Urban and community development, Research, Supply and demand, Housing, Public housing, Relocation (Housing), Rent subsidies

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