Extreme weather events
Article Abstract:
Analysis of data concerning El Nino, La Nina and the Southern Oscillation (SO) from the 1930s to Feb 1992 indicates that these ocean-atmosphere phenomena and the extreme weather linked to them will occur again in the US in the 1990s. Specifically, drought in the US has been associated with both La Nina and the SO's maximum; the next recurrence of these phenomena should produce another US drought in the second half of 1993. In addition, El Nino and the SO's minimum, which bring rain to the US southwest, should happen again in 1996-97.
Publication Name: Nature
Subject: Zoology and wildlife conservation
ISSN: 0028-0836
Year: 1992
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Predicting El Nino events
Article Abstract:
A statistical model may enable climatologists to forecast recurrences of the El Nino and Southern Oscillation (ENSO), which are global climatic changes originating every two to seven years in the Pacific basin. J. Angell derived the model from a statistical correlation between quasibiennial oscillations in stratospheric circulation and occurrences of ENSO. However, a statistical model of this sort is probably most useful when used with ocean-atmosphere numerical models, climate models or computer models.
Publication Name: Nature
Subject: Zoology and wildlife conservation
ISSN: 0028-0836
Year: 1992
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El Nino forecast fails to convince sceptics
Article Abstract:
US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration warnings that an early and strong El Nino will cause seriously adverse weather conditions in South America have not been taken seriously. The research centre issued a forecast on Jun 26, 1997 which predicts that Indonesia and India will experience an extended period of dry weather. Other South American countries including Peru and central Argentina will have a wet winter.
Publication Name: Nature
Subject: Zoology and wildlife conservation
ISSN: 0028-0836
Year: 1997
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