UK economy: happy landings

Article Abstract:

The UK economy may be able to achieve a soft landing, but one broker, James Capel, foresees a hard landing as more probable, though this may not happen until after 2000. The deep recession of the early 1990s could be followed by a long period of growth. Soft landings occurred during the 1950s and 1960s. Use of interest rates to regulate business cycles tends to exacerbate these cycles, and the economy is no longer stabilised by labor due to greater flexibility in the labor market. Housing has become less of a destabilizing factor.

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The puzzle of collapsing profits

Article Abstract:

UK company profits are declining, but investors should not be too alarmed. Profit warnings in 4th-qtr 2001 could total over 150, a record number. However, many of the long-term declines in returns are in media, telecoms and technology sectors, whereas old economy firms are more stable.

Corporate profits

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Doubts about the earnings boom

Article Abstract:

British corporate earnings forecasts are examined in the context of likely trends in the British economy. The impact on cyclical stocks is also examined.

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