A general framework for predicting returns from multiple currency investments
Article Abstract:
Extended-Auto Regressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (ARCH) and Random Coefficient (RC) models were utilized to predict returns on financial assets and exchange rates. The extended ARCH model used is a generalization of the ARCH process and involves relaxation of some restrictive assumptions. The models utilized were able to yield lower forecast errors than direct ARCH estimation by permitting the coefficients to be time-varying.
Publication Name: Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control
Subject: Economics
ISSN: 0165-1889
Year: 1998
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Hedging exotic derivatives through stochastic optimization
Article Abstract:
Methods for hedging derivatives through stochastic optimization is presented and evaluated with results showing that the method is an efficient computational method for obtaining the optimal wealth profile. The technique involves formulating the arbitrage-free problem, clarifying the roles of conflicting sets of prices as arbitrage-free prices and market prices and then computation with the use of an algorithm.
Publication Name: Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control
Subject: Economics
ISSN: 0165-1889
Year: 1998
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