The North Korean nuclear crisis: understanding the failure of the 'crime-and-punishment' strategy

Article Abstract:

Developments in the history of the attitude adopted by the US government towards North Korea's nuclear weapons programme provide important lessons for future policy regarding nuclear proliferation. The US attempted between 1991 and 1994 to coerce North Korea into abandoning its nuclear weapons programme, but was unsuccessful. From Jun 1994, it switched to a policy of cooperation, which proved much more successful. The IAEA played a central role in both approaches. It is clear that nuclear proliferation is more effectively halted through cooperation than through coercion.

Political aspects, Nuclear nonproliferation

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Averting a train wreck with North Korea

Article Abstract:

US relations with North Korea have entered a difficult phase. The agressive style of North Korea has not helped ease relations, but it is an exaggerations to argue that North Korea has made confrontation inevitable by determination to break an agreement with the US on nuclear weapons, the October 1994 Agreed Framework. There is a need for co-operation with North Korea, as well as carrying out a policy of deterrence. Sustained engagement is needed to deal with the crisis, and an effort could start with a missile agreement.

Analysis

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Negotiating an end to North Korea's missile-making

Article Abstract:

The US and the Democratic People's Republic of Korea need to declare an end to enmity if they are to embark on new political relations. A first step should be the lifting of the US economic embargo, while North Korea should formally agree to end missile testing.

International aspects

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