Saddam's survival strategy

Article Abstract:

The political actions of the Iraqi government since the Gulf War can be seen as a cycle of cooperation alternating with confrontation, with the main goals being Saddam Hussein's political survival and the maintenance of Iraqi self-esteem. Iraq's foreign policy can be seen as an attempt to end economic sanctions without sacrificing military security. Immediately following the Gulf War Iraq thought that the trade embargo would not last long, but the next stage came when they cooperated with the UN in order to court public support. Eventually Iraq became frustrated with this policy and expelled American weapons inspectors, and the cycle will probably continue as long as Saddam Hussein is in charge.

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Vigilant containment: putting down a marker in Iraq

Article Abstract:

Saddam Hussein maintains his hegemony in Iraq through an atmosphere of terror aided by an all-pervasive security system. With external opposition to his regime fragmented, change can probably only come from within the country, but many Iraqis fear the anarchy and civil war which could come with his departure. The best alternative for the international community may be a vigilant watch-and-wait policy. The US missile attacks may have been a signal that further incursions into Kurdish areas may bring about allied responses more threatening to Saddam's power.

United States, Political aspects, United States foreign relations

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Deterrence: the last weapon

Article Abstract:

Deterrence has a good record for preventing the use of chemical and biological weapons. Iraq's leader, Saddam Hussein, persisted in avoiding full cooperation with UN weapons inspectors before the Dec, 1998, bombing by the US and Britain. It is too early to ascertain the affect the bombing had on his power, but he will probably never again allow weapons inspectors into Iraq.

Military aspects, Control, Nuclear weapons, Deterrence (Strategy)

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